The UK Property Market 2011/2012

Hi All,

We’ve been getting a lot of questions about the market, and I thought it worth sharing both questions and answers - so here goes.

I’ve kept it very brief, so if you want further details, let us know click here or visit our website www.grantpropertyinvestment.com

Kind Regards

Peter Grant

CEO

1. What's happening with prices.

Prices fell in 2008 but have been very stable since then. We predicted that prices would be flat in 2011 and in fact they have risen slightly, according to Nationwide Building Society.

2. Has the financial crisis changed the market?

Yes. Since 2008 the market has moved from being a sellers market to becoming a buyers market - favouring investors. There is lower mortgage availability for first time buyers. Buy-to-Let mortgages on the other hand have risen sharply in 2011, allowing investors take advantage of very favourable buying conditions.

3. What's happening in the rental market. 

Rents have been rising as have yields. We have 100% occupancy in prime areas. The Scottish rental market has performed better than England.

4. What impact has the euro crisis had this past 6 months.

None. Prices have in fact risen slightly.  It's been similar to other past 'crisis'. In good times property prices rise and in less good times property prices remain flat.

5. Why is property less volatile than shares and bonds.

Shares and bonds make headlines and react to headlines because they are completely liquid so there can be dramatic price movements. Property prices don't react to headlines and have always been very stable by comparison.  

6. What is likely to happen in 2012? 

2012 is predicted to be similar to 2011, with prices stable and perhaps rising slightly. Nationwide are predicting 2% growth. Rents are likely to carry on strengthening as are yields. We expect occupancy in prime areas to remain very high.

7. How does property compare as an investment?

Over any period (3 years or 30 years) residential property has outperformed shares and commercial property. Over the last 40 years, the average growth is 7% pa. Through gearing that‘s a 28% return pa.

8. When investing, what should I focus on?

There are several rules to follow in order of priority

  1. Location, location, location. Choose a prime city centre area
  2. Traditional property outperforms new build, so focus on that

  3. Rentability. Look for strong rent and high occupancy

  4. Experience. Use GM as a partner and use our strong experience

  5. Price. Buy well but without compromising on the above points

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Housing rebound coming in 2012

Firstly from all at Grant Property Investment, we would like to wish all our clients and suppliers a Merry Christmas and Happy New Year!

Attached and below is a fantastic article from Barclays outlining their forecasts for the 2012 housing market. As we expected they have forecast a bumper year for 2012. We have further press articles relating to a positive outlook for 2012 within our website, please Click Here to see more.

Barclays Capital (BCS: 10.17 0.00%) analyst Stephen Kim predicts a housing recovery buoyed by improving jobs numbers and the fact prices for nondistressed homes will have stabilized without government support.

"In the absence of a government homebuyer incentives, prices for non-distressed home sales have stabilized for almost a year," Kim said. "This is the most important trend in the housing industry right now, and we are amazed at how little attention it has been getting from the media and the street. This stability on the part of nondistressed prices has occurred despite a very high share of distressed activity and continued declines in overall prices."

Barclays said recent economic data — including higher job creation in November, housing starts and improved homebuyer traffic — point to some improvement potential in the sector.

In mid-2010, the federal homebuyer tax credit expired, leaving the housing market without training wheels for the first time since the 2008 economic meltdown. Yet, prices in some housing markets remained stable on the back end.

With its new outlook in the market, Barclays upgraded D.R. Horton's (DHI: 11.76 0.00%) stock to buy and raised price targets for D.R. Horton, Lennar (LEN: 18.51 0.00%), Toll Brothers (TOL: 19.26 0.00%) and Meritage Homes(MTH: 20.28 0.00%).

At the same time, the investment bank raised its 2012 earnings-per-share estimates for D.R. Horton, Lennar, Meritage Homes, Pulte (PHM: 5.59 0.00%) and Toll Brothers, while lowering its estimates for KB Home (KBH: 7.03 0.00%).

"Thus, the key to timing housing’s recovery depends primarily on when these first-time buyers decide it is safe to buy a house," Kim concluded.

Please visit our WEBSITE for more information on this article and about Grant Property Investment's unique range of in-house property investment solutions!

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Buy-to-Let growth continues as lending hits three-year high

Buy-to-let lending has climbed to its highest level in almost three years, figures from the Council of Mortgage Lenders have revealed.

In the three months to September 34,500 buy-to-let loans worth £3.8bn were advanced, up 16% by number and 19% by value compared with the previous quarter. This is the highest level by either measure since Q4 2008.

Q3 saw 18,580 buy-to-let purchase loans 12% of all house purchase loans up from 9% in Q3 2010.

Charles Haresnape, managing director for residential mortgages at Aldermore, says: “The buoyancy of the buy-to-let sector confirms that investor appetite for residential property remains strong, which has been fuelled by tenant demand.”

For further information on this article please visit our website www.grantpropertyinvestment.com or call us on +44 (0)131 247 3131 

To view this full article through the original author please visit Mortgage Strategy http://www.mortgagestrategy.co.uk/b2l-growth-continues-as-lending-hits-three-year-high/1041506.article

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